In fact, if we see any change in the near future, I think it will be an upsurge in SSL utilization. As more applications handle sensitive data, we're likely to see additional applications move to SSL-based technology. For example, SSL VPNs are becoming more popular than their IPsec-based cousins.
As you may be aware, there's another competitor of sorts on the scene. Transport Layer Security (TLS) is an open alternative to the Netscape-developed SSL, but it's really not gaining significant market share. TLS and SSL are substantially similar, and TLS is even capable of reverting to SSL communication when necessary. I suspect we'll continue to see TLS available in commercial products (especially those from Netscape!), but it's not likely to surpass SSL anytime soon.
This was first published in July 2007